AnalPhilosopher

“[I]t is ambition enough to be employed as an under-labourer in clearing the ground a little,
and removing some of the rubbish that lies in the way to knowledge.” —John Locke, 1689

“[P]hilosophy can no more show a man what he should attach importance to
than geometry can show a man where he should stand.” —Peter Winch, 1968

Popular Mechanics

Here is how things appeared in 1950. (Thanks to Mark Spahn for the link. Mark wants to know where his flying car is.)

Darwin2 (www):
All that just goes to show what a degraded and pointless exercise it is to consider a person a "futurist". There's an old saw that it is a very dangerous thing to perform a linear extrapolation of a current trend. Taking any current feature of technological life extant today and predicting its effect a few decades from now, heck even as little as five years, is beyond hubris. It's just plain dumb and will be proven just as laughable as most of the predictions in the PM piece.

There were a group of folks who knew instinctively that the flying car would remain a non-starter into the dim distance of time---pilots. The operational insanities of having millions of flying machines in the air at the same time make the problems of ground traffic control fade into insignificance. Flying cars and a sky littered with helicopters are some of the worst ideas any futurist ever had.

Of course we know what trend is the current darling of near hysterical extrapolators these days. Something to do with the climate I hear.
10.10.2006 9:59pm
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